π¦ The Bank of England held its bank rate steady at 4.25% in June, citing persistent inflation π and current geopolitical tensions π. The Bank did suggest that further cuts could be forthcoming, potentially in August π .
π The latest round of consensus economic forecasts suggests two further interest rate cuts, taking the year-end rate to 3.75%. Next year, interest rates are expected to drop a little lower to 3.5% by the end of year π.
π₯ Inflation continues to be at higher levels than the Bank of Englandβs target. The May rate of inflation was 3.4%, and current geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ππ’οΈ have affected oil prices, which could cause further inflationary pressures πΈ.
π Source: Dataloft by PriceHubble, Bank of England, HM Treasury Consensus Forecasts (June 2025)